Loggerhead Turtle Population Simulator

MATH 448 — Lecture 7
Annual survival probability by stage
Stage durations (how many years an individual spends in each stage) are fixed at 1, 7, 8, 6, 1, 1, and 31 years, matching the published life table. Only survival probabilities are adjustable here.
D. T. Crouse, L. B. Crowder, and H. Caswell, “A Stage-Based Population Model for Loggerhead Sea Turtles and Implications for Conservation,” Ecology 68(5), 1987, 1412–1423.
Dominant eigenvalue λ1 (long-term annual growth factor)
Projection matrix L
Stable stage distribution (dominant eigenvector)
Total population relative to today, projected forward